Connect your past, present & future, with lines on a graph
reading time:   ·   on jan 1, 2026   ·   by nicky case
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Catgirl riding a line, going up

So you have a Dream.

Like all worthy Dreams, it may take years or decades to achieve. Alas, the human motivation system can’t learn from rewards with a year-long delay.

So, you're instead advised to “trust the process”, and convert your long-term goal into regular short-term micro-goals:

This is great advice, and I endorse it, but… it feels incomplete? If every day I just focus on this day, I feel like I'm in a hamster wheel, hitting my same micro-goal over and over again, but for what? Intellectually, I know "for what" — the Dream — but I don't feel it anymore.

So, here's a solution that reliably helps me feel the connection between my past, present & future: lines on a graph!

Let's look at 3 examples: project management, money, and weight loss.


🚀 Example 1: Projects

The good news is I’m my own boss. The bad news is my boss is a moron.

Specifically, my boss (me) is bad at project management. She (I) still is (am), to be honest. But the tool that's helped me the most is the Burndown Chart.

How it works: First, give your project (or "sprint") a deadline, and break it down into small tasks. Give each task a number of "points" it's worth (I just make points = hours). Then each day, do tasks. Your burndown chart software will then show you, in a single graph:

( example chart by User:PabloStraub ⤵ )

Chart of ideal vs actual hours left of work to do, over time

When I shipped my latest project, a 20,000-word-with-40-illustrations behemoth, I used a variant called a Burnup Chart, which also tracks total estimated time over time, to see how badly I mis-estimated how long tasks would take. Here's my actual chart:

Chart of my ideal hours done, actual hours done, and estimated total hours, over time

( As you can see: I started off estimating that project would take ~25 hours, but by the end it turned out to be ~75h. I was off by a factor of three, yeesh. But thanks to this Burnup Chart design, I could account for my own mis-accounting, and see where the blue & red trendlines would intersect, to get a better estimate of when I'd actually finish my project. And I did, in fact, finish by Dec 1st 2024, as planned! )

The best part about Burndown/Burnup charts? I can see how different decisions will affect the future, today. For example, I can try deleting a task, or taking an extra break day, or increasing hours worked a day, and immediately see how that'd affect when I'll finish my project.

By tying my past-present-future together into lines on a graph, not only am I more motivated, I also get instant feedback from the future.

(Here's a blank template, and here's an actual example of when I used it.)

💸 Example 2: Money

Another example of "see your effect on the future, today" — just enter your current income & spending into a spreadsheet, multiply by the compounding interest of your savings/investments, and voilà: (example data, not my real finances)

Spreadsheet of income, expenses, and savings over time

Again, this lets you play with decisions like "what if I tried to increase income by this much", "what if I tried to reduce my rent by that much", and you get instant future-feedback.

But more importantly, it helps you viscerally see the connection between your short-term micro-goals, and long-term Dream. "Save $10 a day" is doable but doesn't sound like much, but — just do the math — and you'll find it's enough to retire a millionaire at age 63, already adjusted for inflation, starting from zero money!

Spreadsheet showing how one can become a millionaire by retirement age, just by saving $10 a day into a low-fee diversified index fund

( Quick aside, the best advice for almost all laypeople: ditch the fancy BS mutual funds, and forget about day-trading stocks. Just put your money in a very-low-fee diversified index fund. If that feels icky because you're investing in capitalism, remember, if you put your money in a savings account, your bank will still invest it, they'll just give you nothing but crumbs. Also: you can pick a socially-responsible index fund that excludes weaponry & fossil fuels. )

( Here's the spreadsheets for both the above money examples )

🏋️‍♀️ Example 3: Weight

Finally, the most cliché New Year's Resolution: losing weight. Again, use a spreadsheet with lines on a graph: (my actual data)

Graph of my weight over time, with trendline, and example of one day's data

You can see, at a glance, the connection between:

( I find that visualizing the trendline is emotionally helpful, because weight is so variable from day to day. Seeing the trendline helps reassure me, ignore the daily noise, I'm on the right track. )

And again, you can play with what if's, and get instant future-feedback. A daily micro-goal like "250 calorie deficit" (one less cookie a day) — do the math[1] — becomes "lose 50lb (23kg) in two years" (enough to get you from moderately-Obese to "Healthy" BMI!)

( IMPORTANT: a) Yes both BMI and the Calorie-In-Calorie-Out model are very incomplete and flawed, b) Being Overweight & Obese Class I (25 < BMI < 35) is probably fine health-wise; previous studies didn't control for exercise levels & cardiovascular fitness (see Figures 3 & 4), c) May I interest you in the Potato Diet? Potatoes fill you up very fast (high protein & high fiber if you keep the skins), have almost all the daily nutrients you need, and are versatile foods you can cook in many ways to keep the diet interesting. I did the Potato Diet for a month and lost 10 pounds, and I was already "Normal" BMI! d) Or, ask your doctor about semaglutide. (see Figure 1) )

Here's my weight-tracking Google Sheets template!

Anyway, let’s wrap up:


🚀 Get started with lines today!

"Huh, what an interesting & inspiring article! I'll try this later"
(one year later)
"Oh no I forgot."

~ you, if you don't implement this right now.

So before you close this tab, at least ask yourself:

1) What's a Dream you have, that you've wanted for a long while, yet haven't done it yet?

No shame here, it can be as wacky or tacky as your heart desires. For example:

No, seriously, stop & think of a Dream you have. Silently think it and/or write it down, before continuing.

Got one?

Good. Next step:

2) How can you convert your long-term Dream into a regular micro-goal?

What makes a good micro-goal:

Running with the above examples:

📕 "Write a Great novel" ⇒ Write/edit 500 words a day.

🧠 "Master the secrets of the universe Physics" ⇒ Study 1 hour a day.

( It is not exactly a well-kept secret that the modern university system is horribly broken. Relevant SMBC: )

Comic showing how a university degree costs as much as hiring 3 PhDs to tutor you full time + buying several baby tigers

( If you don't have the pre-requisite math skills for Susskind's lectures, add an extra five months of "study 1 hour a day", and use Khan Academy for high-school algebra (~12 hours of lectures), and 3Blue1Brown for calculus (~3 hours) and linear algebra (~3 hours). So that's an extra 18h of lectures, and given our above study plan where we tackle 2h of lectures per 2 weeks, that's an extra 18 weeks, or about five months, of self-study. Again, at just 1 hour a day. What a steal of a deal! )

Okay, back on track:

Step 1, know your long-term Dream. Step 2, break it down into a sustainable regular micro-goal. This step is tricky; if you're stuck, paste a link to this blog post into Claude (with web search turned on), tell 'em your Dream, and ask Claude to help you break down your Dream into sustainable micro-goals, with inspiration from the above two examples.

After that, your final step:

3) DRAW LINES ON A GRAPH

I strongly recommend using a spreadsheet program like Google Sheets, Excel, or Numbers. It needs more setup than an app, but you get full freedom to customize it however you like! If you need help setting up a spreadsheet, look up YouTube or consult Claude. Again, you can also get started with my templates:

Alternatively, you can use these apps:

(If you don't want to do this final step today, set an exact day & hour in your Calendar to do this, so you don't forget to do it!)

. . .

And that's all the steps!

Try it out for one area of your life, then slowly expand to others, one Dream at a time.


🤔 Q & A

Q: If it really is that trivially easy to write one book a year, become a millionaire by middle age, go from Obese to "Healthy" BMI, and gain university-level mastery of hard skills & topics… why isn't everybody already doing this? Heck, why aren't you doing this, Nicky. Why aren't you already a millionaire polymath scientist-artist supermodel bestselling author?

A: lol i dunno. i guess everyone's only living at 2% of their true potential

( in 2026, i resolve to live up to 5% of my true potential! )


“Write a novel a year” sounds impossible. Most bestselling authors aren’t that prolific. “Write 500 words a day” sounds trivial. You do that unthinkingly between texts & DMs & Slacks.

Yet they’re the same goal, just on different time-scales.

That’s the magic of micro-goals and lines-on-a-graph, seeing your past + present + future at a single glance: you can connect the impossible Dream with the possible Daily, see your effect on the future today, and browse the multiverse of possible futures for the one your heart desires.

📈 Happy Line-making, everyone!
~ Nicky Case


illustration of a catgirl collapsed in exhaustion, in front of a giant party-ful '2026' sign

P.S: One of my Dreams this year is to write one blog post a week. I hope you found value in this first entry of my "one post a week" challenge for 2026!

Let's do the math: I expect my posts to be 2,000 words on average. (this one's 2,600 words long.) So if I write & polish 500 words a day, I can get 1 post done per 4 weekdays, giving me a good buffer. 2,000 words per week × 52 weeks per year = 104,000 words. That's the size of two books.

If you'd like to keep up on my "books disguised a blog", sign up for my low-volume, monthly newsletter! Every end of month, I'll share links to the 4 or 5 posts I wrote — this way, you can skip the ones that don't interest you:

I also reflected on 2025 and wrote more on my resolutions for 2026, in this public Patreon post. You can support my research & writings (always free, online, and open-source!) via Patreon, Ko-Fi, or PayPal

Bless your cotton socks! Happy new year 2026! 🎉 🎊 🎉


  1. A simple (but inaccurate) rule-of-thumb is Wishnofsky's Rule: 1 pound of fat ~= 3500 kcal. (This rule is inaccurate & there are better models, but honestly it's not too far off.) In other words, with a calorie deficit of 250 kcal a day, you'll have a deficit of 3500 kcal in 14 days, or burning 1 pound of fat per 2 weeks. So, over 2 years, that's ~104 weeks, or burning 104/2 = 52 pounds (23kg). Given the standard BMI model (which, yes, is also inaccurate but let's roll with this for now), 52lb/23kg is enough to take you from moderately Obese to "Healthy". ↩︎

  2. Random web sites claim that most published books "should" be around 80,000 to 100,000 words, with Young Adult having a smaller word count, and 40,000 at minimum to count as a novel, not "novella". I'm picking 50,000 to make the math easy to follow.

    Some Great novels around 50,000 words: Kurt Vonnegut's Slaughterhouse-Five, Douglas Adams's The Hitchhiker’s Guide to the Galaxy, F. Scott Fitzgerald's The Great Gatsby. 50k words is plenty! ↩︎